When I first started writing about sports betting a few years ago, political betting wasn’t all that popular. It was sort of like esports – it served a niche audience.
And while I don’t have any hard data to support this, it seems to me that betting on political outcomes has become a bigger deal.
I can’t put my finger on the reason why, but if I had to guess, I’d say that a lot of it has to do with the current US President, Donald Trump.
Because – love him or hate him – you can’t deny that he knows how to get people talking about him. He makes up the majority of news headlines nowadays, between his plans to build a wall, trash talking other countries, and the size of his
And bookmakers are having a field day with it.
Later on, in this article, you’ll see exactly what I mean. I’m going to show you all sorts of interesting markets you can bet on right now, piggybacking off the circus revolving around the current POTUS.
But that’s not all – you can bet on TONS of other stuff revolving around politics in the USA, as well as around the world. We’ll give you plenty of examples of markets sportsbooks are taking action on.
Before we get to all that, though, let’s start with our top picks for best political betting sites. The following have already been vetted for safety, reputation, betting options, etc. So, you can choose any one and know you’re going to have a
The amount of political coverage, as well as the variety and uniqueness of markets, varies a lot between sportsbooks. We recommend having accounts at 2-3 sportsbooks minimum (if your bankroll can handle it).
What Political Events Can You Bet On?
When I first heard about political betting, I assumed it was limited to whatever was going on in the United States.
That was pretty foolish of me, I can tell you that much. Bookies offer action on politics all around the world.
Here are some examples of what you can bet on:
US Presidential Election – Who’s going to become the next POTUS? You’ll also be able to bet on who will win the primaries and become candidates.
US Congressional Election – Bet on who will make it into the Senate and House of Representatives.
British Parliament Election – Bet on who will become the next Prime Minister, as well as the different parties and leaders in different parties.
Referendums – A good example is Brexit. This was an election to decide whether Great Britain should leave the EU.
Australian Parliament Election – Vote on who gets into the Senate, or who’ll become the next Prime Minister. Bets are available on both the national and state level.
London Mayoral Betting – Bet on who will become the mayor of London.
Those are some of the bigger examples. But with a little bit of searching, you can find all sorts of events covered, from Australian state elections, Irish general elections, Scotland’s Next Independence Referendum, and more.
Straight Up Bet – This is the most common type of bet. You’re usually betting on who will win a certain election, event or vote. The favorite will have lower odds (2:1 is the favorite over 4:1).
Handicap Bet – This is a bet on how much you think a candidate, option, etc. will win by. For example, if you think a side or person will win by a 2% margin, you’ll lose if it’s less than 2%, and win if it’s larger than 2%.
Prop Bets – For example, who’d be the two primary candidates in the 2020 Presidential Election.
There’s likely to be others, but from my limited experience, these betting types are the most common.
Interesting Political Markets You Can Bet On
Here are some of the more interesting markets and betting opportunities I found during my research. There are TONS of them.
The following markets are political in nature due to controversy revolving around the National Anthem.
Both Super Bowl teams to have a player kneel during the National Anthem.
An NFL player to be officially fired as a result of a National Anthem Protest.
The National Anthem not to be performed at the next Super Bowl.
Trump to attend the next Super Bowl.
The National Anthem to be removed from the NFL game schedules this season.
The NFL has made headlines recently for their players sitting or kneeling during the National Anthem. So, it’s no surprise to see so many betting opportunities revolving around it.
How many times will Donald Trump tweet on a specific date.
The size of Donald Trump’s “manhood.”
US Congress inquiry to officially declare that Obama ordered a wiretap of phones in Trump Tower.
What year will Donald Trump cease to be President?
Will Trump resign?
Trump to announce that alien lifeforms exist during his time as President.
Trump to open Area 51 to the public during his first term in office.
The Queen to ban Trump from the UK.
Trump to visit North Korea during his first term in office.
Trump to withdraw the US from the UN.
Will Trump have a US navy ship named after him?
Trump to commission his own face to be added to Mount Rushmore.
To have a US military base named after him.
To have his likeness minted on US currency during his
To play a round of golf with Obama.
To begin building a wall between the US and Mexico.
Trump to have a Russian airport named after him.
Trump to holiday in Russia every year of his Presidency.
FBI to confirm Trump/Russian collusion.
To visit Russian during his first Presidential term.
Notice how ridiculous some of these are. Can you imagine Trump having his face added to Mount Rushmore?
I can’t – it’s flipping ridiculous. But given all that Trump has said and done, can you put this sort of thing past him?
United States Politics
Will France ask for the Statue of Liberty back?
Next Governor of Virginia.
Next Governor of New Jersey.
2020 Democratic Presidential Nomination
Republican Presidential Nomination
US Presidential Election 2020
Some of these are interesting, too – like shipping the Statue of Liberty back. Others are entertaining as well, including who will win the Presidential Election. I saw options that included Mark Zuckerberg, Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson and
Can you imagine Oprah as the POTUS? “You get a state. And you get a state. And you get a state.”
Rest of the World
Date of Next Election (Irish)
Next Fianna Fail Leader (Irish)
Next President After Michael D Higgins (Irish)
Next Independence Referendum Result (Scottish)
Next First Minister (Welsh)
Wales Independence Referendum (Welsh)
How many in favor of SSM? (Australia)
Party of Premier (Australia)
Type of Govt Formed (Australia)
Next to Resign (Australia)
Next French President (France)
Austria Election (Austria)
Most Seats (UK)
Next Labour Party Leader (UK)
Corbyn Leader Exist Date (UK)
Second EU Referendum (UK)
Next Green Party Leader (UK)
Next Cabinet Minister to Leave (UK)
Next Conservative Party Leader (UK)
Next House of Commons Speaker (UK)
These definitely aren’t as exciting as many of the markets focusing on the US. But this gives you an idea of the variety of political markets revolving around other countries that are more serious.
How to Bet on Politics (Strategies + Other Tips)
I’m not a sports betting expert, and politics is even further from my field of expertise. So, many of the following tips I found from bettors much smarter than myself.
The first set of tips comes from BestBettingOnline.com. The following are the things you need to consider when betting on politics:
Scandals You want to look to both the past and the future. How close is the scandal to the election? Will it hurt the candidate in question …or help them?
Injuries This is similar to sports, but if a candidate is hurt they cannot “play.” If they’re unable to make appearances, debates, etc., will this impact their chances? You’ve heard the saying, out of sight, out of mind…
Voting System BestBettingOnline.com says to think about whether the popular vote or the electoral voting system will come out ahead.
Wrong Conclusions They say not to use the news or social media for your facts, because they often get them wrong. You should look up the facts yourself.
Location The home candidate will often have the advantage, like the home team in sports betting.
Leadership Who’s a better leader? Who’s more trustworthy, calm, confident, etc.?
Politics vs Public Needs What is the candidate saying they’re going to do while in office, and more importantly, does that match the interests or needs of the public. Not only that, but does the public believe that the candidate can and will do what they say?
Sticking to these won’t guarantee anything. But they may at least help you make more correct predictions than wrong ones.
Experts also say you should wait to place your bets until closer to the election, event, etc. The outcome should be a bit easier to predict, plus you should still be able to find some value.
Fun Fact! Apparently, Donald Trump was 600+ to win the Presidency at one point. Whoever bet on him then must’ve collected a small fortune.
And that’s it from other experts. And to wrap this section up, I’ll give you a few of my own tips and suggestions:
Have multiple accounts. This isn’t so much to ‘line shop’ – though that IS important – but to give yourself the biggest selection of betting markets. You’ll find that many sportsbooks offer unique political betting opportunities.
Familiarize yourself with the sportsbook’s rules and limits. For example, I’m looking at one sportsbook who has a max payout of $25,000 for novelty bets. Another I looked at is $20,000. And I’m sure with enough research you’ll find that the limits and rules can vary more than that. You’ll want to know what these are BEFORE you make a bet – probably before you create your account.
From here I suggest all the normal stuff – make sure a sportsbook is legit before joining; that they have banking options you can use; they offer a few promotions; and that you’ll have a good time.
Conclusion: Politics Suck, But Betting on Political Events Can Be Fun (and Profitable!)
Politics, like religion, is so polarizing. It’s difficult to find much middle ground.
This is why “they” – whoever that is – say not to discuss things like politics and religion at the dinner table. It’s unlikely to go well.
But political betting is a slightly different beast. Instead of talking about who you endorse, and finishing the “conversation” seconds later by calling each other names, you can have a fun chat about how you bet on the size of Donald Trump’s
private parts, whether he’ll be impeached or the likelihood that the United States will ship Lady Liberty back to France.
And even if you don’t plan to discuss your betting with anyone, my opinion is that betting on political outcomes is a far more interesting and entertaining endeavor than politics itself.