Week 5 NFL Predictions – Betting Picks for the Weekend’s Games
Published on October 05, 2018
The NFL season is in full swing, as the majority of teams will have played their fifth game of the season by the time you are back at work on Monday.
After all the exciting developments from Week 4, I can’t wait to see what unfolds in Week 5.
I don’t need to spend any more time rehashing what we learned from this past weekend in the National Football League, as I already covered that in the link above. I am here today for one reason, and one reason only.
I want to give all of my readers a deeper look into 4 games in particular that are on the slate for this Sunday.
I’ve scoured the betting sheets. I’ve compared the prices.
And you better believe I was diligent in my efforts when trying to find out where the value was and who I should be targeting. After going through my process, here is what I came up with.
I just love these spots!
The Titans are coming off 3 straight wins, including a couple very impressive ones during the last two weeks. Tennessee went into Jacksonville and defeated the Jags in Week 3 before upending the Eagles in an overtime thriller this past weekend.
Meanwhile, the Bills got smacked around by the Packers last Sunday, failing to put a single point up on the board all day. To make matters worse, running back LeSean McCoy is in the news again for all the wrong reasons, this time for .
Every general bettor in the world must like the Titans -3.5 here!
So take a wild guess where I’ll be putting my money?
The Bills will be playing at home, which, for one, means the Titans have to travel up to Buffalo. I’m not here to say that I think Josh Allen will have a huge game or that the Bills will light this scoreboard up.
But I do think this game presents a perfect opportunity for Sean McDermott to have his group ready for the task at hand and play well for 60 minutes.
While Tennessee has won 3 straight, they have done so by the slimmest of margins, winning each of the 3 games by 3 points apiece.
Not only does that mean the Titans have played their opposition closely, but it means that this team is coming off of 3 straight dogfights.
Being that the Bills barely showed up last week in Lambeau Field and got completely lambasted by the Packers, this team should be motivated to turn the page and move on.
I like Buffalo to at the very least keep this one close and perhaps even pull off the upset at home.
Are you ready for a shootout?
We saw a bunch of them last weekend, and this Packers-Lions tilt on Sunday afternoon should present another.
The two teams seem to be evenly matched, especially when you consider that this game will be played at Ford Field in front of the Lions’ dedicated fan base. The fact that the Pack are just 1-point favorites here reflects that.
Neither of these defenses has been particularly good this year, although blanking the Bills at home last week certainly bloated the Packers’ defensive stats.
But now on the road facing Matt Stafford and his bevy of speedy weapons, look for Green Bay’s defense to struggle to keep Detroit under 28 points.
Kenny Golladay and Kerryon Johnson are emerging as reliable options, and Golden Tate is coming off a monster game in which he lit up the stat sheet to the tune of 8-152-2.
It’s hard to imagine Mike Pettine containing all of these receiving options, so look for Stafford to raise his 298.1 passing yards/game average that he has maintained over 15 career starts versus Green Bay.
On the flip side, I never said anything about Detroit being able to hold down Aaron Rodgers, did I?
Because there is no way that Matt Patricia completely shuts down #12 and the Green Bay passing attack. I certainly don’t see the Lions blowing Mike McCarthy’s team out of the water, as I already told you I expect this game to be a high-scoring affair that could be decided by whoever has the ball last.
So rather than guess who that will be, I’ll just take the over and be rooting for lots of touchdowns!
As a Las Vegas native, it’s time I start jumping on the Raiders bandwagon and start rooting for the Mark Davis-owned team. And in due time, I will.
But I still want to see more from Jon Gruden as a leader.
Derek Carr appears to be rejuvenated, and at times, this offense has looked unflappable. But this team opened with 3 straight losses and was lucky to escape last week with a victory after allowing Cleveland to roast them for 42 points.
Oakland is surely excited about getting their first win under the Jon Gruden regime, as they should be.
But if they aren’t focused on their matchup against the Chargers from the get-go, this game could get ugly for Oakland quickly.
The Chargers come into this game at 2-2, but hang on for just a second.
Anthony Lynn’s two losses this season came at the hands of the Chiefs and the Rams, the only two teams in the league who are currently undefeated.
And while you could point to the Chargers playing down to their competition last week against the Jimmy Garoppolo-less 49ers, I think that was more of a result of San Francisco just playing some really quality football.
So while one may think the Raiders come into this game with enough momentum to pull off the upset, I am not in that camp of believers.
I think this Oakland defense, which is giving up 30.8 points per contest, gets completely lit up by Philip Rivers on Sunday.
Look for Keenan Allen to be heavily involved in the Chargers game plan, not to mention a big dosage of Melvin Gordon.
Los Angeles should get back to over .500 on the year while Raider Nation will be left scratching their heads, wondering if this is really going to work out.
I know that Baker Mayfield looked electric in his debut against the Jets. And I am well aware that he led the Browns to 42 points last Sunday against the Raiders.
But here’s what else I know.
The Raiders defense isn’t even in the same breath as the Ravens. And despite putting up all those points, Baker completed just 21 of 41 passes and threw a pair of interceptions. In other words, .
Now he’ll face an angry John Harbaugh squad that is coming off a tough loss against the Steelers and has had plenty of time to watch tape on Mayfield.
I suspect that Ravens DC Don Martindale will have a few tricks up his sleeve to slow down the number-one overall pick from the 2018 NFL Draft, and don’t be surprised to see Baker display some frustration.
On the other hand, I’m not here to proclaim that Joe “decrepit” Flacco is going to light FirstEnergy Stadium on fire and shred the Browns D for a bunch of touchdowns, either.
This is a game I expect to be filled with some turnovers, plenty of punts, and a few big plays sprinkled in here and there.
That’s certainly not enough to make me want to buy any stock in the “over 47.5,” but it does raise an eyebrow about latching onto the under.
Too many things have to fall into place in order for this game to turn into a shootout, so I’ll side with the under and hope this game isn’t pretty.
Sunday is going to be a great day for NFL fans.
We have divisional rivals playing in multiple spots and a Jaguars-Chiefs game that is oozing with anticipation.
Which game are you most looking forward to?
Clearly, I found a quartet of matchups that I’ll be watching closely, and I suggest you take an interest in placing these wagers as well. There are no guarantees in football, but you can certainly put your best foot forward and hope things pan out.
That’s what I’ve done here, and I’ll be doing it throughout the entire NFL season!
Good luck, and enjoy the games!