Possible Upsets to Target in the Week of June 11th – 4 Upset Picks for Bettors
Published on June 12, 2018
The sports world experiences a depressing shift after the first week of June.
The NBA Finals and Stanley Cup Finals are over, Rafael Nadal is still the king at the French Open, and meaningful football isn’t back until August.
Sports bettors don’t have much to work with in the “dead period” of sports – especially if they desire elite underdog picks.
That being said, there are still UFC events, boxing matches, golf events, and you can feel free to dabble in the WNBA and CFL. Then there’s the FIFA World Cup, too, which will excite soccer fans for sure.
Your main focus undoubtedly has to be MLB betting, of course.
Baseball is nearing the halfway mark, and it’s still difficult to truly peg anyone, but if you want consistent underdog bets, this is likely your best path for the next couple of months.
I tried to obtain some elite value last week, knowing full well the NBA and NHL seasons were probably going to end.
My 16-22-1 upset picks record really hasn’t been too bad despite a few bad beats and some bold calls, but last week didn’t do me any favors.
Let’s go back and look at how my picks from a week ago fared as I rev up for another week of upset sports picks.
As you can see, last week was brutal for my upset picks.
The Cavs provided value at home in game three, but they couldn’t take down the Dubs in a tight game. Kevin Durant hit a clutch three with just under a minute to go, and that served as a dagger.
Cleveland went on to lose game four, getting swept in the Finals for just the second time in LeBron James’ storied career.
Alistair Overeem was a bust this past weekend, as Curtis Blaydes completely destroyed him. I arguably almost nailed a bigger MMA upset pick with Yoel Romero, who ended up losing via decision.
The Mets looked like a fun bet at home, and they ended up losing by one to the O’s. Philly also teased me in a series bet, as they took an easy win in game one against the Cubs, and then lost the next two games.
It was even worse in the decisive game three, as the Cubs barely won, 4-3.
You can talk about how you narrowly miss out on sports picks, but 0-5 is 0-5. That drops me to 16-27-1 on the year with my upset picks and may demand a 5-0 or 4-1 run at some point in the near future.
That just goes to show how difficult it can be to correctly pick upsets, even if you feel confident or passionate about them.
With that, let’s try to turn things back around with another week of fun upset picks.
While the NFL and college football aren’t here for a couple of months yet, we can get our football betting fix via the CFL starting this week.
Johnny Manziel won’t be starting (nor will he be in this game), but this is a fun league, and real, live football is always worth tuning into.
Both of these teams finished with strong 12-6 records in 2017, and Winnipeg actually fielded the most explosive offense in the league.
I do understand why Winnipeg is being bet against here, as they’re without injured star quarterback Matt Nichols. That’s a big deal, but this offense is still loaded, and the Blue Bombers have snagged four wins in the last six meetings with Edmonton.
These teams seem more closely matched than Vegas suggests, so I’ll take the crazy dog money (+220 at BetOnline) at home via the Blue Bombers.
I’ll be honest, the FIFA World Cup begins this week, and I’m not much of a soccer fan, but I do sense the excitement and some very real opportunities for some big upsets.
These matches do not always go as the experts think they will, and here we’ve got two teams that arguably don’t even belong if we’re looking at pure talent alone.
Russia is the better team, but it’s not by much, as they don’t defend very well. Saudi Arabia has yet to prove itself on this big stage, but the value is crazy for a matchup between two fairly pedestrian squads.
I’ll soak up this value all day and hope Saudi Arabia can stage the upset.
I’ll shift to an MLB series winner pick here, but the logic is similar. The value changes greatly, but here you have two more middle-of-the-road teams that haven’t looked great lately.
Colorado has inexplicably been awful at home all year, yet they own a nice 21-14 road record. Neither of these teams are in a groove, but this park promotes lively offense, and I’d argue the pitching is a considerable wash.
I do think the Phillies have the edge on the mound to get game one going (Aaron Nola is starting), but the Rockies have the more reliable offense, and if pitching goes out the window, they scream value at +130 in this series.
New York enters Tuesday night as big favorites, as they’ll be at home against the Washington Nationals. The Yanks have looked like the best team in baseball for much of the year, so that’s not a shock to anyone.
While the Yanks are tough (22-9) at home, C.C. Sabathia doesn’t strike much fear into the opposition, and New York’s bats haven’t been very lively (four or fewer runs in each of their last four games).
They’ll also face a solid pitcher in Tanner Roark, who knows how to manage games and gets a solid strikeout matchup.
Sabathia is the target here, as several of Washington’s power hitters (namely Anthony Rendon, Bryce Harper, and Mark Reynolds) can destroy left-handed pitching.
Considering the 37-year-old southpaw has been getting donged like crazy (7 HR allowed in his last five outings), Washington looks like a tall order.
The Nats provide immense value here, and for a team with a ton to play for (tied for first in the NL East), I’m willing to bite down and back them here.
That does it for this week’s top upset picks in the world of sports.
With two huge sports genres drawing to a close and pro football not yet back, I’m understandably taking a mild step back in the volume of underdog picks I’m pushing out.
It’s a practice to consider for all sports bettors, as you don’t want to get in the habit of “betting just to bet” or chasing high upside wagers that you personally don’t feel very strongly about or even agree with.
Whether you like my upset picks each week or not, always be sure to do your own research, hunt for value on a variety of sports betting websites, and make sure any wager you place is backed by logic.
With that, I wish you luck in your underdog betting this week!