NBA Betting: 3 Upset Picks to Target on Wednesday, November 22nd
Published on November 22, 2017
I nearly struck the motherload with my NBA upset picks on Monday, as the Dallas Mavericks pushed the Boston Celtics into overtime. I mentioned that the streaking Celtics were due for a collapse and that Dallas was worth a look at +240.
That upset didn’t pull through, but anyone who took that bet had a thrilling ride. My other two picks had better luck, as the Pacers (+145) and Wizards (+175) both scored nice upsets and returned stellar value.
While Monday night’s basketball betting slate was certainly fun, Wednesday’s could be even better with a ridiculous 14-game schedule on the docket. Needless to say, there is a lot of value to be had and it’s up to bettors to simply pick the right spots.
I’m eyeing several interesting spots tonight, with three games, in particular, standing out:
I actually love the Miami Heat tonight as +130 home underdogs, but I want a better price. Boston’s crazy 16-game winning streak is going to end soon and it’s probably coming against a viable road opponent.
For me, I need more value when I’m going up against that kind of run, however.
That brings me to my first upset pick of the night, with the Blazers looking like a fun team to get behind at +165 at Bovada.
Don’t get me wrong, the Sixers are stacked, exciting and on the rise. They’re also not the best team to go against at home (3-1 against the spread) and they’re red hot (7-3 over their last 10 games).
Still, Portland is never an easy out and Jusuf Nurkic gives them a viable two-way center that could potentially slow down Joel Embiid. Embiid is also dealing with some knee soreness, so it will be interesting to see if he’s limited or even sits this one out.
The Blazers have been traditionally known for their offense, but this year they’ve turned into a stingy defensive team. Portland comes in with the league’s second-best defense and has been respectable (3-3) on the road.
Philly has a lot to learn before they can be fully trusted as a team that will get wins and cover every night, so I’m fine with rolling with the veteran Blazers in this spot.
I am mildly interested in the Orlando Magic at +240 tonight, as they take on the Minnesota Timberwolves in the “who is more volatile” game of the night. That might be a bit too shaky for me to trust in, however, so I’ll drop down slightly and see if the Mavs can’t get a win in Memphis.
The Grizzlies are a shell of their usual selves right now, as star point guard Mike Conley is sidelined with an Achilles issue a “”. Things are so bad that Chandler Parsons is getting serious run, while Memphis is flat out reeling during a nasty five-game losing streak.
Don’t get me wrong, I don’t feel amazing about the Mavs. However, they gave the red-hot Celtics a scare in a tense overtime battle and they’ve been better lately – even scoring big wins over the Bucks and Wizards.
Better can be a funny word. Still, Memphis is just 2-4 against the spread as home favorites and they’re not the same team without Conley running the show.
Marc Gasol could feast in this matchup, but if the other Grizzlies don’t show up, Dallas could hang around and surprise with a win late in this one.
There are a handful of other games to monitor, particularly if the lines change drastically. I’ll wrap today’s NBA underdog picks up with the Nets taking down the Cavs, though.
Cleveland seems to think they’ve figured it all out after whipping the Pistons for their fifth straight win. This is still a bad defensive team, however, and this game sets up as a track meet.
Given the way the Nets play and Cleveland’s lack of desire to defend the perimeter, it’s very possible this is a close and high-scoring game. That and Brooklyn got a win over the Cavs already this year and really have nothing to lose as they try to do just that again.
The real point here is the Money Line, as the Nets offer staggering value at +475 at Bovada and it’s possible that line only grows elsewhere. I just don’t see why bettors are supposed to suddenly trust the Cavs to the point where they’re -750 favorites.
Vegas is awarding Cleveland a huge -11 point spread, as well, and I’m just not buying it.
Spencer Dinwiddie has looked fantastic in taking over for an injured D’Angelo Russell at the point and the Nets have remained competitive (lost by 8 points or fewer in their last four defeats).
If the Nets can fire away and hang in a fast-paced game, they look like one of the more interesting upset picks Wednesday night has to offer.