The 2018 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – Betting Preview with Odds and Free Pick
Published on October 04, 2018
Horse racing fans have to wait almost a year for the next Triple Crown run. That’s a bummer, but the next two months certainly will settle as a fine consolation prize in the interim.
Up next on the schedule is the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp Racecourse, which will soon after be followed by the Breeders’ Cup. While the Breeders’ Cup events understandably catch more attention, die-hard horse racing bettors will be looking to cash in on a prestigious event that’s spanned nearly 100 years.
Enable impressed with a win in 2017 and returns as the +110 favorite at Bovada racebook and other horse racing betting sites in a bid to repeat as champion. She’d be joining elite company, as Treve is the only horse to win back-to-back Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe titles in the last 20 years.
It’s tough to go against Enable at first glance. This is a special horse that won its first race in 2016, and following a disappointing third-place run at the Conditions Stakes, went on a seven-race winning streak.
That obviously included last year’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, while a big win at the 2017 September Stakes can’t be ignored. Needless to say, Enable is the clear favorite, and possibly only the difficulty of repeating in this competitive race may dissuade bettors from backing her with confidence.
While Enable is a very tough favorite to take down, she’s not the only horse with intriguing odds, and like most horse races, there is no guarantee the favorite comes out on top.
You’re going to want to consider every option in what could be perceived as a pretty loaded field. The odds may not necessarily reflect that, of course.
Here are the latest Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe odds over at Bovada.
There is admittedly a pretty top-heavy group, but nobody will deny the fact that Sea of Class (four straight wins) is a very solid challenger at +400.
There are clearly interesting arguments for Waldgeist and Cracksman as well, but Crystal Ocean pops off the board with a 2nd-place finish behind Enable at the September Stakes.
He offers way better odds at +1200 and has run quite well, with a second-place finish or better in each of his last seven events.
Those are the top favorites, while Kew Gardens pulls in with the same odds as Crystal Ocean. Between the two, however, Crystal Ocean gets the nod for me.
I’d almost classify Crystal Ocean as a sleeper based on that sweet +1200 price, but I’m not sure he’s coming out of nowhere.
There are a couple of true sleepers in the mix, though, especially when you look at the odds. Capri (+2500), Study of Man (+2500), Defoe (+3300), and Salouen (+6600) stand out to me the most.
That isn’t to say no other horses could qualify as true sleepers or that they for sure can’t win, but based on talent, production, and pricing, these four seem to be worth a look in Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe betting circles.
Salouen is the long shot of this race at +6600. The odds of this horse breaking the bank aren’t great, but it’s worth pointing out that he is rather well traveled. He hasn’t won in his last 13 tries, but in each of his last seven runs, he’s been 4th or better.
The mere ability to compete is a pretty big deal, and at +6600, the gambler in you needs to take notice.
If you’re looking for more realistic wagers, stick with Defoe, Capri, and Study of Man. Of that trio, I like Defoe the most. Not only does the 4-year-old colt offer the most upside in terms of sheer betting value, but he also has been in the best form with a third-place finish or better in eight of his last nine races.
Defoe did trip up with a 10th-place finish at the English St. Leger last year, but he’s finished no worse than third in any of his other eight races over the past two years.
With loads of experience and seven victories under his belt, he’s about as sneaky as it gets at +3300.
I do think there are several spots to toss some cash at in this one. There are a handful of what I’d deem “realistic” threats, and there are certainly a few fun sleepers to aim high with.
Defoe is a very solid sleeper at +3300, but I’d surely want most of my bets tied up with Enable, Sea of Class, Waldgeist, and Crystal Ocean.
If you want a sleeper that can win, I love Defoe. If you want a top challenger, it’s Crystal Ocean.
However, Enable won last year, proved against at the September Stakes she’s the real deal, and has been in amazing form for too long to start betting in another direction.
The beauty is that you’re still getting respectable value at this +110 price.