NFL Monday Night Football Betting Preview – Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints
Published on October 08, 2018
Are you ready for history to be made?
Those of you who can appreciate greatness will surely acknowledge what the Saints quarterback is on the brink of achieving tonight.
Because with just 201 more passing yards, .
And if you think there is any way, shape, or form that the Redskins are going to get in the way of this party breaking out in the Big Easy tonight, you are just in denial.
But just because the 39-year-old outstanding leader is on the verge of etching his name into the NFL history books forever doesn’t mean this is a foregone conclusion that the Saints will blow the Redskins out of the water.
I know Jay Gruden’s squad will have their hearts set on at least slowing down the Saints’ high-powered offensive attack, but actually doing it is a whole other question that is still up for debate.
Fortunately, we don’t have to sit around pondering this game for much longer. Because at 8:15 pm EST tonight, the Redskins and the Saints will kick off on Monday Night Football live on ESPN for all of us to see.
I plan on diving head-first into the matchup and offering my betting advice, but I first want to take a hard look at each of these teams separately.
I’ll start with the home favorites.
All this talk about Alvin Kamara being one of the up-and-coming running backs needs to just stop. If you don’t already consider Kamara among the 2 or 3 best backs in the NFL, you need to wake up and smell what’s brewing in New Orleans.
If I have to tell you how electric this kid is on the field, then obviously you haven’t tuned into enough Saints games since the start of last season.
And things should get even better for their ground game from here on out.Sean Payton’s running attack figures to get a huge boost tonight thanks to .
The former Alabama RB was fantastic in 2017, and thanks to resting his legs the first month of the season, he should be ready to help carry the load.
Now add in Michael Thomas, who has already hauled in 42 balls through 4 games, and you are talking about a high-octane offense that is extremely tough to stop.
So while the offense is under complete control and rounding into form, the defense needs to start keeping pace.
New Orleans was awful defending the Bucs and the Falcons, while they found mild success impeding the progress of the Browns and the Giants.
It’s hard to predict exactly which New Orleans defense will show up tonight, but the fact that the game will be nationally televised on MNF should only help them get amped up.
The Redskins are the last team in the league to play their fourth game after Washington was on a bye in Week 3.
Jay Gruden has had plenty of time to game-plan for Drew Brees and this offense, and one would hope that all that extra preparation should play a factor.
The Redskins’ year got off to disturbing start before they even played their opening game, as they lost rookie RB .
But owner Dan Snyder has been pleasantly surprised with what Adrian Peterson has been able to bring to the table, as the 33-year-old tailback is averaging 4.2 yards per carry and has already “hit paydirt” three times.
Alex Smith has been, well, about exactly how you would expect Alex Smith to be doing in a new offense. While he has completed 20 passes to running back Chris Thompson and 14 to tight end Jordan Reed, none of the Washington wideouts are in the double digits in receptions.
Jamison Crowder was supposed to be a dependable target in the middle of the field, but the former Duke Blue Devil is yet to get things going in 2018.
Deep threat Paul Richardson has caught one long touchdown pass but is yet to be steadily featured on a consistent basis.
Jay Gruden and Matt Cavanaugh might have to open up the playbook a bit more and allow Alex to air it out because it’s going to take scoring at least a few touchdowns to win this game.
Speaking of the game, it’s time to look closely at the specific matchup.
Given exactly what is at stake, it’s severely difficult to imagine anything less than an utterly raucous environment tonight at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
Not only do the Saints have an opportunity to start gaining separation in the NFC South, but Drew Brees in on the edge of establishing himself as the NFL’s all-time leading passer.
Drew has poured his heart and soul into this franchise ever since he signed with the team back in 2006. If you don’t think the fans appreciate all that he has done, then you are about to find out later this evening.
As far as the actual game goes, here’s how I envision it actually playing out.
The Saints offense will be in full-blown attack mode and will be fiercely trying to score points early. That will likely result in the Redskins having to play catch-up in the second half, and the Saints’ defensive inefficiencies could allow Washington to score some touchdowns in the process.
I don’t want to get ahead of myself and start calling for a blowout, but I don’t particularly see this game going down to the wire. My plan is to lock into the Saints at -6.5 before it has the chance to balloon to over 7.
New Orleans shouldn’t have any qualms about keeping the Redskins at bay on their home turf, so look for the Saints to win this one comfortably.
Like I said in the introduction, the atmosphere tonight in the Big Easy is going to be absolutely insane.
The crowd will be going bonkers for Drew Brees to eclipse both Brett Favre and Peyton Manning and become the National Football League’s most triumphant passer in terms of yards thrown.
Once that record is out of the way and secured, look for the Saints to keep their foot on the gas pedal and pound away at the Redskins defense. It’s not that Washington’s defensive unit is that bad; it’s just that New Orleans’ offense is that good.
So you can dabble around with the over or under and wonder how many points Alex Smith can put up in this environment.
Or you can take the value, which is betting on the Saints to cover at home in a Primetime game.
Either way, the game will be played, and then we’ll be moving on to Week 6. The only question left is if you’ll be on the right side of the action tonight!