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Betting on the 2019 Wimbledon Championships – Odds, Predictions, and Picks

By Jerry Summer
Published on June 14, 2019

The first two Grand Slam tournaments of 2019 showed us that the old guard is still dominating male tennis, but there is a legion of young and hungry players in the ladies’ circuit.

I think we might see more of the same during this year’s Wimbledon.

The legendary tournament starts early in July, and the leading Wimbledon betting sites have released their odds for the winners markets.

That’s why I decided to analyze the chances of the top contenders in the gentlemen’s and the ladies’ draws.

Of course, I will finish this 2019 Wimbledon betting preview with my predictions and picks for the best bets right now.

Betting Preview of the 2019 Men’s Wimbledon Tournament

Let’s start with the betting prices for the winner in the 2019 Wimbledon men’s draw.

Novak Djokovic2.50
Roger Federer4.50
Rafael Nadal7.00
Alexander Zverev13.00
Juan Martin Del Potro17.00
Milos Raonic17.00
Marin Cilic17.00

The first three favorites of the bookmakers look particularly familiar to me. I wonder why.

It’s obvious that the three active legends will be up there for the Wimbledon trophy, and I don’t see many other guys that stand a chance. In other words, I completely agree with the assessment of the betting sites.

Novak Djokovic

The big dream of Novak Djokovic was to win a calendar Grand Slam, but I think it’s over now, as 2019 was the only somewhat realistic chance for that.

The world number one was excellent for most of the French Open but lost against one of the strongest clay courts players out there, Dominic Thiem, in the last four.

It was an epic encounter that ended in five sets. You never know what might have happened in the final, but I don’t think Djokovic would’ve been capable of truly challenging Rafa Nadal. The Spaniard is simply unbeatable on clay when he is in such form.

And yet, I think there were plenty of positives for the Serbian after his performance in Paris. He is in great shape, and Wimbledon will be played on grass, a much stronger surface for Djokovic.

He has already won the competition four times, including a comprehensive victory in 2018. His two main rivals are beatable too. Nadal is not that good on grass, while Nole is a couple of years younger than Federer, which makes a big difference after 30.

If Djokovic is close to his best, and we have enough evidence to believe that will be the case, he is most certainly the man to beat. The price of 2.50 might seem low on the surface, but I think it’s actually decent value.

Roger Federer

At some point, the years will catch up with Roger Federer, and he won’t be reaching the later stages of Grand Slams. That day is yet to come, though, as we clearly saw in the 2019 French Open.

Clay is the weakest surface for Federer, and he missed three Roland-Garros editions in a row before this season. You would expect him to be rusty under such circumstances, but the living legend reached the last four with ease. It took a vintage Nadal performance to end Federer’s challenge.

That probably looks a bit scary for the rest of the circuit, as Roger has won Wimbledon eight times and loves grass.

Similarly to Djokovic, if he can reach a semi-final in Paris, he certainly can win in London. The surface is perfect for Federer’s aggressive style and strong serve.

He has always been one of the most attacking players out there but decided to take a step further in this direction a couple of seasons ago. At his age, winning points early and without spending too much energy is crucial.

We instantly saw the results for the reinvented Federer, as the man won three Grand Slams in 2017 and 2018. One of them was Wimbledon, and I feel that the Swiss player knows that his big chance for another Grand Slam is at the All England Club.

That makes him a dangerous foe, and the price of 4.50 certainly looks great.

Rafa Nadal

Many doubted Rafa Nadal before the start of the French Open, but the Spaniard was once again dominant in Paris. The injuries at the beginning of the clay court season were gone, and it’s obvious that Rafa is feeling great right now.

Despite that, I’m not exactly sure if he should be the third favorite for the Wimbledon crown. In his peak years, Nadal won the tournament and was certainly a force to be reckoned with.

He certainly should have a decent run in 2019, but we all know that grass is not Nadal’s favorite surface. He will most likely struggle not only against Djokovic and Federer but also some of the younger players that are more suited to green courts.

The price of 7.00 for Nadal to win the 2019 Wimbledon might seem high, but I don’t think it’s worth it. I believe something like an appearance in the last eight is what we could expect from the Spaniard.

The Rest of the Field

It’s hard to find other players that could realistically challenge for the Wimbledon crown. The likes of Del Potro and Cilic or the younger Zverev and Tsitsipas should be exciting to watch. There are others that could shine, but beating Federer and especially Djokovic should be beyond them.

And still, I will write another post very soon that explores the potential Wimbledon 2019 sleepers for those of you looking for high betting odds.

Wimbledon Gentlemen Outright Winner Betting Pick

If Novak Djokovic is fit and close to his best, we could witness a similar story to Nadal’s success at the Roland-Garros. The Serbian should be able to beat pretty much everyone on grass, so the price of 2.50 is actually quite decent.

The obvious danger for the reigning champion is Roger Federer. The Swiss maestro looked strong in France, and he should be even better on grass. I certainly think the odds of 4.50 for Roger to win his favorite tournament are tempting.

Since I have a lot of reasons to believe it’s between those two and the prices allow it, I would pick both Federer and Djokovic.

If you decide to follow my predictions, there are two ways to approach it. The first one would be to split your wagers in a way that brings equal profits if either of them is the winner.

For those of you who prefer to play it safe, I would say backing Djokovic with your main bet and using Federer as a secondary option that returns your initial investment is the way to go.

PICKNovak Djokovic to Win Wimbledon2.50
PICKRoger Federer to Win Wimbledon2.50

Betting Preview of the 2019 Women’s Wimbledon Tournament

Here are the betting odds for the ladies.

Serena Williams6.00
Petra Kvitova7.00
Ashleigh Barty9.00
Naomi Osaka10.00
Karolina Pliskova13.00
Angelique Kerber13.00
Karolina Pliskova13.00
Johanna Konta13.00
Garbine Muguruza15.00

As you can see by the betting odds, there are no true favorites for the 2019 Wimbledon. A simple look at the last ten Grand Slam tournaments might explain why. They were won by nine different players, as only Naomi Osaka was capable of lifting more than one trophy.

That’s crazy and makes female tennis extremely unpredictable. On the positive side, you can find a bunch of ladies that are priced really high and have a realistic chance to succeed.

Let’s try and spot some good betting picks for Wimbledon.

Serena Williams

I will start with Serena Williams out of respect for this great champion and because the odds for her to triumph are the lowest. In reality, I don’t think the American legend has a high chance of winning Wimbledon in 2019.

Serena was a shadow of her younger self in the French Open. One could say that clay is not a good surface for her, but there is more to it than that.

Her movement was gone, and the usual power and precision that made Williams so successful are simply not on the same level now.

Unless something changes drastically before Wimbledon, I don’t see any point in backing Serena Williams at a price of 6.00.

Petra Kvitova

I will keep it short about Petra Kvitova too because we don’t even know if she will play. The Czech star missed the French Open 2019 because of an injury that is still tormenting her.

The current rumors are that she might have to rest for Wimbledon too. Even if Kvitova recovers on time, I don’t think her shape will allow her to actually challenge for the title. That makes backing her pointless.

Ashleigh Barty

This is the first name that makes sense, as Ashleigh Barty was exceptional during the French Open. The Australian was torn between playing tennis and cricket at one point of her life, but it seems she made the right decision after all.

The variety in her game and the mental strength were the keys to success in Paris. According to Barty herself, she doesn’t even like clay courts. Grass is her favorite surface, so we could expect more from the Australian in London.

Martina Navratilova praised her style and desire, sharing that she expects more Grand Slams for Barty. I can certainly see why, so backing her to win the Wimbledon too at the price of 9.00 is a solid choice.

Naomi Osaka

As already mentioned, Naomi Osaka is the only female player to win two Grand Slams from the last ten competitions of the highest rank. The Japanese was excellent in the 2018 US Open and the 2019 Australian Open.

A lot of people expected her to start dominating the circuit, but that’s when Osaka ran into all sorts of trouble. She split with her coach, got injured, and had other issues off the court.

Her performance has been suffering ever since. I don’t know if she will be back to her best before Wimbledon, but it might be worth trying your luck. The price for Osaka is 10.00, and that’s not bad at all.

Karolina Pliskova

The performance of Karolina Pliskova at Wimbledon so far during her career is hard to explain. The Czech athlete has the perfect style for grass and loves the surface but has been struggling at the All England Club.

Pliskova’s best performance is the fourth round, while she has reached at least the semi-finals of every other Grand Slam tournament.

It seems like she has some kind of a mental block when it comes to Wimbledon. If Pliskova overcomes it somehow, she has the tools to succeed. And yet, I don’t think the price of 13.00 is a good idea at this point of her career.

Johanna Konta

I don’t think that I would’ve included Johanna Konta in the list of potential betting picks a month ago, but the French Open changed my perception. The Brit was never very good on clay courts but had a strong tournament and reached the last four this time around.

Konta is significantly better on grass and will have the support of the crowd in London. Under the guidance of her new coach Dimitri Zavialoff, she might be able to bring some joy to the home nation.

The price of 13.00 is excellent, and I think this is one of the best bets out there.

The Rest of the Field

There are at least a couple of other players that should be competitive in the ladies’ Wimbledon in 2019. We saw that there is a large number of youngsters that are hungry for success at the French Open, but some of the more recognizable faces shouldn’t be underestimated either.

Reigning champion Angelique Kerber is always a threat, despite her poor 2019 so far, while you never know what to expect from Garbine Muguruza. The Spaniard is too inconsistent, but when she finds her rhythm, she is deadly on the court.

However, I can’t recognize betting odds that make sense at this point. That’s why I decided not to include other contenders in my analysis.

Wimbledon Ladies Outright Winner Betting Pick

The high betting odds and the unpredictable nature of this year’s draw suggest that you should back at least two players to win.

In my opinion, the best options right now are Ashleigh Barty and Johanna Konta.

Both are flying after the French Open, love grass courts, and have really good prices.

PICKAshleigh Barty to Win Wimbledon9.00
PICKJohanna Konta to Win Wimbledon13.00

Final Words

I honestly can’t wait for Wimbledon to start. It will most likely offer the opportunity to watch some of the greatest male players ever fight for more titles and one of the most competitive crowds in the ladies’ draw.

Our team will be following the tournament closely, so make sure to check our blog regularly. Don’t forget to also follow our Wimbledon betting guide. It combines theory and practice in one place for everyone that intends to place real money wagers.

You will find regular updates and fresh picks as well as expert advice on how to prepare better for your own bets.  

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